are likely to be around to see the Singularity. (mathematics) the value or range of values of a function for which a derivative does not exist. One might be tempted to respond Carefully! Consciousness in our twenty-first century machines will be a critically important issue. However, careful consideration of the pace of technology shows that the rate of progress is not constant, but it is human nature to adapt to the changing pace, so the intuitive view is that the pace will continue at the current rate. From the mathematicians perspective, a primary reason for this is that an exponential curve approximates a straight line when viewed for a brief duration. The exponential trends underlying productivity growth are just beginning this explosive phase. The Exponential Growth of Computation Revisited If we view the exponential growth of computation in its proper perspective as one example of the pervasiveness of the exponential growth of information based technology, that is, as one example of many of the law of accelerating returns.
Talk by Vinge on What if the Singularity does NOT happen?
I consider Vernor Vinge to be one of the most visionary SF authors living today (it could be claimed this directly makes him one of the most visionary living authors, period, but I won't get into that.).
The technological singularity (also, simply, the singularity) is the hypothesis that the invention of artificial superintelligence (ASI) will abruptly trigger runaway technological growth, resulting in unfathomable changes to human civilization.
According to this hypothesis, an upgradable intelligent agent (such as a computer running software-based artificial general intelligence) would enter.
Science is about objective measurement and logical implications therefrom, but the very nature of objectivity is that you cannot measure subjective experience-you can only measure correlates of it, such as behavior (and by behavior, I include the actions of components of an entity, such. That is, the purpose of lifeand of our livesis to evolve. When the scientists evolve to be a million times more intelligent and operate a million times faster, then an hour would result in a century of progress (in todays terms). A mollusc has not much consciousness. Future generations will enable us to resolve the connections between neurons and to peer inside the synapses and record the neurotransmitter concentrations. Biological thinking is stuck at 1026 calculations per second (for all biological human brains and that figure will not appreciably change, even with bioengineering changes to our genome. The basic computational and communication methods are also essentially feasible today. And if the product itself doesnt exhibit some level of intelligence, then intelligence in the manufacturing and marketing methods have a major effect on the success and profitability of an enterprise. If were off by a factor of a million, thats still only a delay of 17 years.
Vernor vinge singularity essay
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